Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010 0.000011 0.000012 0.000014 0.000016
2025-01-19 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000011 0.000013 0.000015 0.000018
2025-01-26 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000011 0.000013 0.000017 0.000021
2025-02-02 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000011 0.000014 0.000018 0.000024
2025-02-09 0.000005 0.000007 0.000008 0.000011 0.000015 0.000019 0.000026
2025-02-16 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000015 0.000021 0.000029
2025-02-23 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000016 0.000022 0.000032
2025-03-02 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000016 0.000023 0.000035
2025-03-09 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000016 0.000024 0.000038
2025-03-16 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000017 0.000026 0.000041
2025-03-23 0.000004 0.000005 0.000008 0.000011 0.000017 0.000027 0.000044
2025-03-30 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000017 0.000027 0.000046
2025-04-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000018 0.000029 0.000051
2025-04-13 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000018 0.000030 0.000053
2025-04-20 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000018 0.000031 0.000057
2025-04-27 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000019 0.000033 0.000063
2025-05-04 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000019 0.000034 0.000067
2025-05-11 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000020 0.000036 0.000073
2025-05-18 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000020 0.000038 0.000078
2025-05-25 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000021 0.000039 0.000083
2025-06-01 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000021 0.000041 0.000088
2025-06-08 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000022 0.000042 0.000095
2025-06-15 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000022 0.000044 0.000102